It will be a good second half of the year for the Bucharest office market says BNP Paribas
The significant increase in interest from international investors looking for the best formats of cooperation with local developers sends a powerful message to the market in Romania’s capital city. Importantly, the abovementioned interest applies not only to the office sector, but also to the retail and logistics ones.
The first half of the year saw a considerable drop in vacancy rate from approx. 13 percent at the end of 2016 to approx. 9 percent at the end of the first half of 2017, which was the result of steadily rising demand.
Bucharest office market shows an enormous potential, and current high level of take-up is confirming it. The first half of the year ended with a record volume of leases signed, i.e. 157,000 sqm, which was approx. 7,000 sqm more than recorded for the corresponding period last year. Occupiers have a large appetite for brand new Class A office buildings. This year, many new office schemes will be fully leased before completion.
Despite delivery of new Class A office buildings, it is estimated that over the coming quarters the high level of demand for prime schemes may lead to a drop in office vacancy rate to below 7-8 percent. The office market will then slowly transform itself into a distinct landlord market.
Key drivers of this demand are not strictly related to location and rent anymore. Value added factors offered by particular schemes, such as architecture, technology applied, environmentally friendly solutions and additional facilities in the form of staff canteens, shops, laundrettes, gyms and green terraces, are becoming more important. Furthermore, amenities designed with cyclists in mind, i.e. parking spaces, changing rooms with showers and wide and safe cycling paths in the underground car parks, are also features that attract attention. The above mentioned situation on the market resulted in a slight contraction of the gap between headline rents and effective rents in the first six months of 2017. Office rents are not likely to increase; however, due to high demand and limited supply we can expect that the level of incentives offered to tenants will decrease over the coming quarters. It is estimated that at the moment incentive packages represent 15-20 percent of headline rent, while in the case of long term leases (more than 5 years) this value can go up to 25 percent.
When analysing the capital city’s office market, it becomes noticeable that the obvious workhorses here are the areas located in the north of Bucharest. Barbu Vacarescu-Aurel Vlaicu and Dimitrie Pompei attracted the majority of tenants as they offer a good balance between the standard of the space available and total occupation costs. Analysts estimate that the pattern of market development will change over the next 2-3 years due to the 200,000 sqm to be delivered in the central west part of the city (Grozavesti – Politehnica).