May 16, 2019

Office markets gaining strength

Office markets gaining strength

Poland's office market in Q1 2019 saw office supply growing, vacancy rates dropping comparing to the last year, and demand predominantly being driven by IT, services and manufacturing, says advisory firm JLL, summarizing the situation on the Polish office market at the end of Q1 2019.

Demand

Demand in the first quarter of 2019 was more than 270,000 sqm, with markets outside Warsaw accounting for 130,500 sqm. 67 percent of this volume was generated by Kraków (43 percent) and Wrocław (24 percent). The most notable transactions included a 11,200 sqm renewal by Akamai in the Vinci Office Building in Kraków, a 7,000 sqm new deal by Wirtualna Polska in the Business Garden in Warsaw, a 7,000 sqm pre-let by a company from the public sector in the Vector+ building also in Warsaw, a pre-let by Perform Group (Perform Content & Perform Media) for 6,400 sqm in the Face2Face Business Campus in Katowice, and a renewal & expansion totalling 6,300 sqm by GlobalLogic in the Bonarka for Business, Kraków.

"The main driver for the largest regional office markets in Poland is still the business services sector. Companies from this industry generated nearly 40% of the demand for offices outside of Warsaw during the first quarter of 2019. The biggest share of the BPO/SSC sector in terms of gross take-up volumes was in Katowice - almost 74 percent, with the Tri-City having in excess of 45 percent," commented Karol Patynowski, Director of Regional Markets, JLL.

Moreover, the providers of flexible work spaces, and not only in Warsaw, play an increasingly important role on the office markets. Over 60,000 sqm of new flex space is already confirmed to open in 2019 although this volume may be even higher.

Supply

"The strength of the Polish office market is underlined by the growth in modern office stock. In Kraków and Wrocław it has exceeded 1 million sqm, in the Tri-City it stands at almost 800,000 sqm, in both Katowice and Poznań it is more than 500,000 sqm, with Łódź set to hit the half-a-million mark this year. In total, the market in Poland, including Warsaw, offers 10.7 million sqm of modern office space," said Łukasz Dziedzic, Senior Research Analyst, JLL.

During the first three months of 2019, more than 142,000 sqm was delivered to the Polish market, with the regional markets accounting for more than 120,000 sqm.

"Under-construction stock in Poland totals 1.6 million sqm, with major markets outside Warsaw accounting for 800,000 sqm. This space is mainly concentrated in Kraków, the Tri-City and Wrocław, where Business Garden II, the biggest project on the regional markets, is already a very well-let development," said Łukasz Dziedzic.

The biggest office projects completed during the first quarter in Poland included the five buildings of Business Garden in Poznań (46,100 sqm, Vastint), V.Offices in Kraków (21,700 sqm, AFI Europe), and Spark B in Warsaw (15,700 sqm, Skanska Property Poland).

Vacancy rate and rents

The overall vacancy rate in Poland stands at 9.3 percent. In Warsaw 9.1 percent of existing office supply is vacant. Outside the capital the lowest (5.4 percent) vacancy rate was found in the Tri-City, with the highest (15.8 percent) – in Poznań. The overall vacancy rate for the regional cities now stands at 9.4 percent. Additionally, the vacancy rate was analysed for the first time in the Górnośląsko-Zaglębiowska Metropolis, and at the end of the first quarter the rate stood at 9.8 percent.

Currently the highest prime headline rents can be found in Kraków (€13.5 – 15 sqm/month), and the lowest in Lublin (€10.5 – 11.5 sqm/month). Prime rents in the central areas of Warsaw are currently quoted at €17 to 24 sqm/month, while prime assets located in the best non-central areas are €11 to 15 sqm/month.

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